Troed made an interesting comment yesterday: statistically there is a high probability that we are all avatars. Welcome to our self-chosen Matrix… Read all about the debate on the simulation argument website
The site is a debate about the possibility that we may be living in a simulation. A brief introduction is in order. The paper on the site argues that at least one of the following propositions is true:
- i. It is possible that a civilization could create a computer simulation which contains individuals with artificial intelligence.
- ii. Such a civilization would likely run many – say billions – of these simulations (just for fun; for research, etc.)
- iii. A simulated individual inside the simulation wouldn’t know that it’s inside a simulation – it’s just going about its daily business in what it considers the “real world”.
Then the ultimate question is – if one accepts that points 1-2-3 are at least possible, which of the following is more likely?
- a. We are the one civilization out there in the universe that will eventually develop the ability to run AI simulations? Or,
- b. We are one of the billions of simulations that has run? (Remember point iii.)
While you’re at it, take some time to read the simulated reality wiki.
I did get a funny feeling when reading Troeds post on the Matrix … I don’t think I would want to spend my life in a pod, no matter how good the reality. I think I’d end up taking the red pill. But then again … how would I know? (Remember point iii.)